So, firstly, Oscar odds will be announced in the next day, and that means all kinds of ways to bet on who's going home with Oscar on the big night. It's the biggest entertainment betting event of the year, and we'll be posting a complete Oscar betting guide just as fast as we can. In the meantime, you may want to start handicapping the big race for the Academies by taking a loot at the winners of last night's unfortunately named SAG (Screen Actors' Guild) awards.

Let's run the winners:
Best Male in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture: Philip Seymour Hoffman wins for Capote. Okay. I give up. I'll be shocked if he doesn't run the table this awards season. A lot of people think that Heath Ledger has a shot in this category, but so far at the Golden Globes and SAGs, it's been all PSH. I'd be surprised if the odds aren't ridiculously loaded for him to win after nominations are announced.

Best Female in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture: Reese Witherspoon wins for Walk the Line. So, this is interesting. At the Golden Globes, there are separate categories for dramatic film and musical/comedy films. Therefore, both Reese and Felicity Huffman (Transamerica) got to be honored. American loves Reese, but Felicty was powerful in an unusual role. This could go either way for Oscar. How does he like his women, this Oscar? Perky like Reese or serious like Felicity?

Best Male Actor in a Supporting Role: Paul Giamatti wins for Cinderella Man. This makes sense. People LOVE-loved him in Sideways last year. Nobody wants a Ron Howard film to end a night with zero awards. But let us look for a moment at who he beat:

Don Cheadle, Crash
George Clooney, Syriana
Matt Dillon, Crash
Jake Gyllenhaal, Brokeback Mountain

Looking at who's in the mix, there's reason to think that everybody in this category has a shot at being Oscar's good buddy on the big night. Brokeback Mountain is a heavy favorite to make an impact at the awards, and if Heath doesn't have much of a shot against PSH, then Jake is a great way to snake an award in to Ang Lee's masterpiece. Crash has been under-rated all year, and George Clooney gained weight for his role in Syriana, which we all know can translate to an award all on its own. It's a wild category that could go any way.

Best Female Actor in a Supporting Role: Rachel Wiesz wins for The Constant Gardner. This was a bit of an upset, with Michelle Williams for Brokeback Mountain having been the favorite with Catherin Keener for Capote and Frances McDormand for North Country right behind her. Even though we know Oscar loves Frances McDormand, he's unlikely to throw any awards towards North Country after the criticism it received for being a fabricated Oscar movie (as in it only got made to get nominations for its overblown drama). But if the field looks the same on Oscar night, I'd still look for Oscar to go home on Michelle Williams' arm despite the SAG upset.

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture: This is a category Oscar doesn't even have, but it rewards a cast that acted as an ensemble. At the SAGs, Crash won this category, beating out Brokeback Mountain, Capote, Good Night, and Good Luck and Hustle & Flow. The reason we're bringing it up? This award for Crash may be an indicator that Academy voters could think more of it than we guessed and some awards could float its way.

So there you have it. Take it and use it wisely when those possible Oscar bets start to happen.

In other news, you may want to know what the worst of Hollywood is this year. Fear not! The Razzie nominations came out today. We'll just run them down for you.

Worst Screenplay: Bewitched, Deuce Bigalow: European Gigolo, Dirty Love, The Dukes of Hazzard, Son of the Mask

Worst Actress: Jessica Alba (Fantastic Four and Into the Blue), Hilary Duff (Cheaper by the Dozen 2 and The Perfect Man), Jennifer Lopez (Monster in Law), Jenny McCarthy (Dirty Love), Tara Reid (Alone in the Dark)

Worst Actor: Tom Cruise (War of the Worlds), Will Ferrell (Bewitched and Kicking and Screaming), Jamie Kennedy (Son of the Mask), The Rock (Doom), Rob Schneider (Deuce Bigalow: European Gigolo).

Worst Picture: Deuce Bigalow: European Gigolo, Dirty Love, Dukes of Hazzard, House of Wax, Son of the Mask

Call us crazy, but we think Dirty Love may make a sweep.

Labels: awards, Oscars, Razzies

posted by pregamejocelyn at 8:03 PM