By Kari
They say it's the best group they've had so far. The singing has been good, but can they perform? And will another youngin take the top spot again this year? The early odds say that a young man will be the next American Idol, but we've got a couple of seasoned veterans, one already with a record deal under her belt, that could surprise us all.
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David Archuleta
Yes, the girls are screaming for him, aren't they? He's cute, but a little too precocious, which could get annoying if he's consistent every week (like Melinda last year). If he's good at picking songs, he'd better keep interpreting them well, or it might get old quickly. And don't underestimate the thought of Chris Daughtry Syndrome if he sails through.
Opening Week Odds: 4/5
Final 12 Odds: 2/3
Final 11 Odds: 3/2
Final 10 Odds: 4/5
Final 9 Odds: 21/20
Final 8 Odds: 13/10
Final 7 Odds: 10/11
Final 6 Odds: 10/11
Final 5 Odds: 10/11
Final 4 Odds: 11/8
Final 3 Odds: 9/4
Final 2 Odds: +165 (Click to bet on David A.)
David Cook
It's kind of like having Blake again. Except without the beatboxing or doing the Robot onstage. Okay, he's not really like Blake at all. He's got close hair, though. He's trying to set himself up to be the real rocker after the charade of Robbie Carrico, which worked out until Robbie got eliminated in Week 2, and now he's on his own trying to be authentic. But he's got a bit of a mouth on him, and that gets you in trouble-- just ask Chris Sligh.
Opening Week Odds: 35/1
Final 12 Odds: 17/1
Final 11 Odds: 9/2
Final 10 Odds: 4/1
Final 9 Odds: 19/10
Final 8 Odds: 2/1
Final 7 Odds: 9/4
Final 6 Odds: 6/5
Final 5 Odds: 1/1
Final 4 Odds: 2/3
Final 3 Odds: 2/5
Final 2 Odds: -230 (Click to bet on David C.)
Asia'h Epperson
Kristy Lee Cook got lucky by adding a little twang to her Journey song, while Asia'h tried to tackle Whitney. Unless you've already blown out the judges, trying to sing Whitney is usually your death blow. It's almost a cardinal sin at this point. Even so, I thought she was better than Kristy Lee Cook. But folks get mushy for a little country twang.
Odds At Elimination: 18/1
Danny Noriega
I don't think the last-minute leak of his cuss-filled rant before his performance helped him any, but it really came down to just poor song choice. He's got a great voice, but never chose a song that showcased him. Which is a shame, because he would've made great television. And to be honest, with the age range that AI goes for, Fox probably wouldn't want to endorse such a sassy kid.
Odds At Elimination: 55/1
Kady Malloy
Another no-no? Trying to sing Freddie Mercury when it's pretty obvious that you can't. And not just because of the voice, but have you ever seen Freddie sing "Who Wants To Live Forever"? The guy brought the rawness to the song in spades. There was a personality there, which Kady completely lacked.
Odds At Elimination: 55/1
Luke Menard
Well, at least they were merciful and let him go early in the show. You could kind of tell by the look on his face that he was resigned to being let go, but when even Paula's trying to scrape up something nice to say about your performance, that's no bueno.
Odds At Elimination: 150/1
David Hernandez
In a way it's really difficult, yet really easy to eff up The Beatles. It's all in the song choice, and Dave chose very unwisely. You can't just karaoke your way through the Lennon/McCartney songbook thinking that your voice is going to be enough. I mean, not that he should've brought a little more stripper-ness to his performance, but maybe it would've helped, you know?
Opening Week Odds: 28/1
Odds At Elimination: 28/1
Amanda Overmeyer
She has a really cool voice, but it was pretty obvious that her lack of enthusiasm, weird clothing choices, and unappealing butchiness couldn't get her very far. If she had followed the Janis Joplin vibe all the way through and showed off a little more sexiness it might've worked out for her. But yeah. She was a little scary.
Opening Week Odds: 80/1
Final 12 Odds: 60/1
Odds At Elimination: 30/1
Chikezie Eze
I think if Kristy hadn't sung "I'm Proud To Be An American" on American Idol with her country Americanness, and Chikezie hadn't decided to get all egotistic by grabbing hands in the front row, he'd still be in the game. Not that he could've won, of course, but at least we'd have his cuteness for another week.
Opening Week Odds: 80/1
Final 12 Odds: 100/1
Final 11 Odds: 40/1
Odds At Elimination: 35/1
Ramiele Malubay
She could've established herself early, but she could never give that knockout performance the judges wanted her to give. Ramiele has a great voice, but she never stood out, which is something you need to do during that first week. If you don't, getting to the big stage will seem like you're even tinier than you already are.
Opening Week Odds: 10/1
Final 12 Odds: 16/1
Final 11 Odds: 25/1
Final 10 Odds: 25/1
Final 9 Odds: 60/1
Odds At Elimination: 20/1
Michael Johns
In a way it was shocking, just because it wasn't his time to leave yet. On the other hand, he did sing Aerosmith during "Idol Gives Back" week, which probably wasn't the best move. But Simon was pretty right on when he said that Michael is better at singing the blue-eyed soul than he is at being a rocker. There really is only so many times you can sing "Bohemian Rhapsody" and get away with it.
Opening Week Odds: 9/1
Final 12 Odds: 10/1
Final 11 Odds: 14/1
Final 10 Odds: 13/1
Final 9 Odds: 19/2
Odds At Elimination: 7/1
Kristy Lee Cook
I mean, this really was like, a month too late. Here in the office we were pretty sure Chikieze was going to last longer, but she was really good at picking the right kind of songs the voters wanted to hear, and then having Dolly Parton week. But it's not like she won't be trying to go the Carrie Underwood route.
Opening Week Odds: 40/1
Final 12 Odds: 40/1
Final 11 Odds: 60/1
Final 10 Odds: 100/1
Final 9 Odds: 100/1
Final 8 Odds: 30/1
Odds At Elimination: 25/1
Carly Smithson
Was it really that shocking? Not so much, considering it was either going to be now or in a couple of weeks. The people love Jason and Brooke because they're branded performers. Carly, while a rocker chick, just really didn't have much more than that. You kind of wonder what her album would be like, but I can't even picture her being an electic pop singer in the vein of Poe, for instance.
Opening Week Odds: 7/1
Final 12 Odds: 6/1
Final 11 Odds: 7/2
Final 10 Odds: 10/1
Final 9 Odds: 10/1
Final 8 Odds: 15/2
Final 7 Odds: 12/1
Odds At Elimination: 30/1
Brooke White
It's not like she's actually the best singer in the bunch, but she's the most easily brandable, so in that sense she really lasted far too long in this competition. In this day and age of Sara Brelleses and KT Tunstalls, Brooke won't have a problem putting out an album that will appeal to one of the biggest markets in music: Adult Contemporary.
Opening Week Odds: 10/1
Final 12 Odds: 19/1
Final 11 Odds: 4/1
Final 10 Odds: 9/1
Final 9 Odds: 13/1
Final 8 Odds: 18/1
Final 7 Odds: 13/1
Final 6 Odds: 35/1
Odds At Elimination: 30/1
Jason Castro
Let's be real about this: not only was it down to 3 guys and a girl, it's down to two guys who have had this competition on lock since about, oh, week 2. Jason, while having a good voice and a cute factor, was just another victim of AI's producers wanting at least one girl left in the final three and making him fumble the lyrics in order to make it look legit. We'll miss the locks, though. Really.
Opening Week Odds: 14/1
Final 12 Odds: 15/2
Final 11 Odds: 15/1
Final 10 Odds: 12/1
Final 9 Odds: 35/1
Final 8 Odds: 20/1
Final 7 Odds: 10/1
Final 6 Odds: 15/1
Final 5 Odds: 25/1
Odds At Elimination: 40/1
Syesha Mercado
Simon was right in saying that she'd peaked at the right time in the competition-- but what that means is that she'll have a great Broadway career (which I think is a good thing for her, being an actress as well as a singer). It was obvious she wasn't going into the final two, and she knew that once Brooke was gone, it was just a matter of waiting to get to the final three. But she seems like the kind of cute girl who will do well outside of Idol.
Opening Week Odds: 20/1
Final 12 Odds: 18/1
Final 11 Odds: 50/1
Final 10 Odds: 15/1
Final 9 Odds: 20/1
Final 8 Odds: 35/1
Final 7 Odds: 50/1
Final 6 Odds: 40/1
Final 5 Odds: 25/1
Final 4 Odds: 15/1
Odds At Elimination: 50/1
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